Uncertainty-aware time-lapse CO$_2$ monitoring with learned end-to-end inversion

Seismic monitoring of CO2 sequestration is computationally expensive as it involves modeling of both fluid-flow physics modeling and wave physics and differentiation through the solvers with respect to the subsurface properties of interest. In this talk, we demonstrate the effectiveness of learned coupled inversion framework using a pre-trained Fourier neural operator as a learned surrogate for the fluid-flow simulator, which greatly reduces the cost associated with fluid-flow modeling and differentiation through the solver. We study the effectiveness and correctness of inversion based on Fourier neural operator surrogate and a normalizing flow prior. We also demonstrate the efficacy of this framework on monitoring the growth of CO2 plumes during sequestration, and on uncertainty quantification of the permeability and CO2 plumes with conditional normalizing flow. With this framework, we can further forecast the CO2 plume in the future without any acquired seismic data with uncertainty estimation.