Physical Bayesian Inference for Two-Phase Flow Problems

Previous research on surrogate modeling of multiphase flow systems has shown that even models with low generalization error in forward predictions can generate posterior estimates that are out of distribution and physically unrealistic. To address this, we propose a regularization method that leverages the Fisher Information Matrix (FIM) to guide the training process. By integrating the FIM into a differentiable optimization framework, we aim to improve the reliability of surrogate models, such as Fourier Neural Operators (FNO), for both forward predictions and posterior inference. Our experiments on benchmark problems, including the Lorenz-63 system and Navier-Stokes equations, demonstrate that our approach significantly enhances physical consistency throughout time evolution, keeping predictions within the correct spatial distribution. Looking ahead, we plan to extend our framework to more complex applications, such as Geological Carbon Storage, with an emphasis on scaling FIM computations for high-dimensional problems.