Enhancing Performance with Uncertainty Estimation in Geological Carbon Storage Leakage Detection from Time-Lapse Seismic Data

Ensuring CO 2 non-leakage is a critical aspect of Geological Carbon Storage (GCS). While previous approaches that develop deep neural networks demonstrate promising automatic leakage detection and potential cost reduction in dataset collection from time-lapse seismic images, they face challenges, such as a limited ability to reduce false alarms in CO 2 leakage instances and a lack of uncertainty analysis in detection results. This paper introduced a framework aimed at enhancing the deep neural network model's ability to detect GCS leakage risk through a multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM)-based ensemble algorithm. The proposed method can improve the detection ability of leakage cases while accurately distinguishing them from non-leakage instances. Furthermore, the proposed uncertainty analysis method utilizing Monte Carlo (MC) dropout technique efficiently identifies misclassified non-leakage cases and categorizes them as undetermined for further investigation. This comprehensive approach enhances both the reliability and performance of the model in detecting GCS leakage risks.