@conference {gahlot2025ML4SEISMICmrm,
	title = {Mitigating Rock-Physics Model Misspecification in Digital Shadows via Amortized Bayesian Inference},
	booktitle = {ML4SEISMIC Partners Meeting},
	year = {2025},
	month = {11},
	abstract = {Digital shadows for subsurface monitoring rely on simulation-based inference to map seismic observations to evolving reservoir states. However, when the simulations are generated using simplified or different rock physics models than those governing the observed data, model misspecification leads to biased posterior estimates and degraded uncertainty quantification. We address this challenge through Bayesian frameworks including rock-physics marginalization and a context-aware amortized inference using conditional normalizing flows. The framework learns a mapping from seismic responses to pressure and saturation while accounting for variability across different randomly drawn models for the rock-physics. To enhance sensitivity to fluid and stress effects, we also incorporate pressure-dependent rock physics into the seismic forward model and perform inference in the Radon domain of Common Image Gathers (CIGs) instead of conventional RTM images. Because fluids exhibit distinct angle-dependent signatures in AVA responses, Radon-transformed CIGs are expected to provide improved separation between pressure and saturation effects, leading to more accurate and physically consistent state estimates. Thus, it enables an uncertainty-aware, physics-informed digital shadows under rock-physics model mismatch.},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, CIG, conditional normalizing flows, data assimilation, deep learning, digital twin, experimental design, GCS, Imaging, Inverse problems, ML4SEISMIC, permeability, reservoir simulation, rock physics, RTM, SLIM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification, WISE},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/ML4SEISMIC/2025/gahlot2025ML4SEISMICmrm},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Ipsita Bhar and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@presentation {herrmann2023ML4SEISMICmsc,
	title = {Monitoring subsurface CO2 plumes with learned sequential Bayesian inference},
	year = {2023},
	month = {11},
	abstract = {Reservoir engineers frequently employ two-phase flow simulations and history-matching to oversee and anticipate the behavior of CO2 plumes within geological carbon storage. These simulations, while valuable for gaining insights, face limitations due to several complex factors, such as uncertainties surrounding the plume{\textquoteright}s dynamics. To investigate this phenomenon more comprehensively, we introduce the concept of stochasticity in the dynamics, accounting for uncertainties in the underlying permeability of the reservoir. To enhance the accuracy of CO2 plume predictions and quantify the uncertainties involved, we utilize machine learning techniques to condition these predictions on time-lapse seismic and well observations. This framework works on the principle of sequential Bayesian inference that continuously assimilates information from time-lapse observations, updates the CO2 plume predictions, and characterizes uncertainties about the plumes.},
	keywords = {Bayesian inference, CCS, deep learning, Imaging, ML4SEISMIC, monitoring, SLIM, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/ML4SEISMIC/2023/herrmann2023ML4SEISMICmsc},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Ting-ying Yu and Rafael Orozco and Ziyi Yin and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@conference {yu2023IMAGEmsc,
	title = {Monitoring Subsurface CO2 Plumes with Sequential Bayesian Inference},
	booktitle = {International Meeting for Applied Geoscience and Energy},
	year = {2023},
	note = {(IMAGE, Houston)},
	month = {08},
	abstract = {To monitor and predict CO2 plume dynamics during geological carbon storage, reservoir engineers usually perform two-phase flow simulations. While these simulations may provide useful insights, their usefulness is limited due to numerous complicating factors including uncertainty in the dynamics of the plume itself. To study this phenomenon, we consider stochasticity in the dynamic caused by unknown random changes in the injection rate. By conditioning the CO2 plume predictions on seismic observations, we correct the CO2 plume predictions and quantify uncertainty with machine learning.},
	keywords = {Bayesian inference, CCS, deep learning, Imaging, monitoring, SEG, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slimgroup.github.io/IMAGE2023/SequentialBayes/abstract.html},
	presentation = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/SEG/2023/yu2023IMAGEmsc},
	author = {Ting-ying Yu and Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Rafael Orozco and Ziyi Yin and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
