@conference {gahlot2025EAGEnfb,
	title = {Advancing Geological Carbon Storage Monitoring with 3D Digital Shadow Technology},
	booktitle = {EAGE Annual Conference Proceedings},
	year = {2025},
	month = {6},
	keywords = {3D digital shadow, Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, conditional normalizing flows, data assimilation, deep learning, digital twin, experimental design, FWI, GCS, Imaging, Inverse problems, RTM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification, WISE},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/EAGE/2025/gahlot2025EAGEnfb},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Rafael Orozco and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@unpublished {gahlot2025EAGEagc,
	title = {Advancing Geological Carbon Storage Monitoring with 3D Digital Shadow Technology},
	year = {2025},
	month = {6},
	keywords = {3D digital shadow, Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, conditional normalizing flows, data assimilation, deep learning, digital twin, experimental design, FWI, GCS, Imaging, Inverse problems, RTM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification, WISE},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Submitted/2025/gahlot2025EAGEagc/abstract.html},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Rafael Orozco and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@unpublished {li2025IMAGEceo,
	title = {CO2 Enhanced Oil Recovery Through Digital Shadow Modeling},
	year = {2025},
	month = {3},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, conditional normalizing flows, data assimilation, deep learning, digital twin, EOR, experimental design, FWI, GCS, Imaging, Inverse problems, permeability, reservoir simulation, RTM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification, WISE},
	url2 = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Submitted/2025/li2025IMAGEceo/IMAGE_Haoyun.pdf},
	author = {Haoyun Li and Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@unpublished {gahlot2025EAGEerd,
	title = {Enhancing robustness of Digital Shadow for CO 2  Storage Monitoring with Augmented Rock Physics Modeling},
	year = {2025},
	month = {6},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, augmentation, Bayesian inference, conditional normalizing flows, data assimilation, deep learning, FWI, GCS, Imaging, Inverse problems, rock physics, RTM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Submitted/2025/gahlot2025EAGEerd/abstract.html},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@conference {gahlot2024IMAGEocs,
	title = {Optimizing CO2 Storage Monitoring with Enhanced Rock Physics Modeling and Optimal Pressure Control},
	booktitle = {CCUS 2025 - Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage Conference},
	year = {2025},
	month = {3},
	abstract = {Based on the latest data-assimilation and machine-learning techniques, Digital Twins (DTs) have shown promise for high-fidelity monitoring and control of underground CO2​ storage. While the use of these techniques have important advantages, they do rely on certain assumptions. If these assumptions are not met, the DT{\textquoteright}s neural networks may no longer infer the state of the CO2 plume (pressure/saturation) accurately. By augmenting the forecast ensemble, we address this issue.},
	keywords = {Bayesian inference, CCUS, conditional normalizing flows, control, deep learning, digital twin, GCS, rock physics, SEG, sequential Bayes, Uncertainty quantification},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Haoyun Li and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@conference {gahlot2025CCUSocs,
	title = {Optimizing CO2 Storage Monitoring with Enhanced Rock Physics Modeling and Optimal Pressure Control},
	booktitle = {CCUS 2025 - Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage Conference},
	year = {2025},
	month = {3},
	abstract = {Based on the latest data-assimilation and machine-learning techniques, Digital Twins (DTs) have shown promise for high-fidelity monitoring and control of underground CO2​ storage. While the use of these techniques have important advantages, they do rely on certain assumptions. If these assumptions are not met, the DT{\textquoteright}s neural networks may no longer infer the state of the CO2 plume (pressure/saturation) accurately. By augmenting the forecast ensemble, we address this issue.},
	keywords = {Bayesian inference, CCUS, conditional normalizing flows, control, deep learning, digital twin, GCS, rock physics, SEG, sequential Bayes, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/CCUS/2025/gahlot2025CCUSocs},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Haoyun Li and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@unpublished {erdinc2025IMAGEpbi,
	title = {Power-scaled Bayesian inference with score-based generative models},
	year = {2025},
	month = {3},
	keywords = {Bayesian inference, deep learning, generative model, Imaging, Inverse problems, power-scaling, RTM, score, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification, WISE},
	url2 = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Submitted/2025/erdinc2025IMAGEpbi/IMAGE_Tuna.pdf},
	author = {Huseyin Tuna Erdinc and Yunlin Zeng and Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@unpublished {deng2025EAGEpjrm,
	title = {Probabilistic Joint Recovery Method for CO2 Plume Monitoring},
	year = {2025},
	month = {6},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, deep learning, FWI, GCS, igm, image generative model, Imaging, Inverse problems, JRM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification},
	doi = {10.48550/arXiv.2501.18761},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Submitted/2025/deng2025EAGEpjrm/EAGE_Venice.pdf},
	author = {Zijun Deng and Rafael Orozco and Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@unpublished {park2025IMAGErdn,
	title = {A reduced-order derivative-informed neural operator for subsurface fluid-flow},
	year = {2025},
	month = {3},
	keywords = {deep learning, derivatve-informed, Fisher-information, FNO, GCS, Inverse problems, permeability, reduced-order modeling, reservoir simulation, Uncertainty quantification},
	url2 = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Submitted/2025/park2025IMAGErdn/IMAGE_Jayjay.pdf},
	author = {Jeongjin Park and Grant Bruer and Huseyin Tuna Erdinc and Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@unpublished {gahlot2025IMAGEsrp,
	title = {Sensitivity-aware rock physics enhanced digital shadow for underground-energy storage monitoring},
	year = {2025},
	month = {3},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, conditional normalizing flows, data assimilation, deep learning, digital twin, experimental design, GCS, Imaging, Inverse problems, permeability, reservoir simulation, rock physics, RTM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification, WISE},
	url2 = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Submitted/2025/gahlot2025IMAGEsrp/IMAGE_Abhinav.pdf},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Huseyin Tuna Erdinc and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@unpublished {deng2025IMAGEtfi,
	title = {Time-lapse full-waveform inversion with uncertainty quantification},
	year = {2025},
	month = {3},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, deep learning, FWI, GCS, igm, image generative model, Imaging, Inverse problems, JRM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification},
	url2 = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Submitted/2025/deng2025IMAGEtfi/IMAGE_Venice.pdf},
	author = {Zijun Deng and Rafael Orozco and Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@unpublished {zeng2025IMAGEw2f,
	title = {Well2Flow: Reconstruction of reservoir states from sparse wells using score-based generative models},
	year = {2025},
	month = {3},
	keywords = {deep learning, diffusion-pde models, Generative models, history matching, reservoir simulation, score, sparse observations, Uncertainty quantification},
	url2 = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Submitted/2025/zeng2025IMAGEw2f/IMAGE_Shiqin.pdf},
	author = {Shiqin Zeng and Haoyun Li and Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@conference {orozco2024IMAGEbeacon,
	title = {BEACON: Bayesian Experimental design Acceleration with Conditional Normalizing flows - a case study in optimal monitor well placement for CO2 sequestration},
	booktitle = {International Meeting for Applied Geoscience and Energy},
	year = {2024},
	month = {8},
	abstract = {CO2 sequestration is a crucial engineering solution for mitigating climate change. However, the uncertain nature of reservoir properties, necessitates rigorous monitoring of CO2 plumes to prevent risks such as leakage, induced seismicity, or breaching licensed boundaries. To address this, project managers use borehole wells for direct CO2 and pressure monitoring at specific locations. Given the high costs associated with drilling, it is crucial to strategically place a limited number of wells to ensure maximally effective monitoring within budgetary constraints. Our approach for selecting well locations integrates fluid-flow solvers for forecasting plume trajectories with generative neural networks for plume inference uncertainty. Our methodology is extensible to three-dimensional domains and is developed within a Bayesian framework for optimal experimental design, ensuring scalability and mathematical optimality. We use a realistic case study to verify these claims by demonstrating our method{\textquoteright}s application in a large scale domains and optimal performance as compared to baseline well placement.},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, conditional normalizing flows, deep learning, GCS, IMAGE, Inverse problems, OED, SEG, Uncertainty quantification},
	doi = {10.48550/arXiv.2404.00075},
	author = {Rafael Orozco and Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@conference {gahlot2024IMAGEdt,
	title = {A Digital Twin for Geological Carbon Storage with Controlled Injectivity},
	booktitle = {International Meeting for Applied Geoscience and Energy},
	year = {2024},
	month = {8},
	abstract = {We present an uncertainty-aware Digital Twin (DT) for geologic carbon storage (GCS), capable of handling multimodal time-lapse data and controlling CO2 injectivity to mitigate reservoir fracturing risks. In GCS, DT represents virtual replicas of subsurface systems that incorporate real-time data and advanced generative Artificial Intelligence (genAI) techniques, including neural posterior density estimation via simulation-based inference and sequential Bayesian inference. These methods enable the effective monitoring and control of CO2 storage projects, addressing challenges such as subsurface complexity, operational optimization, and risk mitigation. By integrating diverse monitoring data, e.g., geophysical well observations and imaged seismic, DT can bridge the gaps between seemingly distinct fields like geophysics and reservoir engineering. In addition, the recent advancements in genAI also facilitate DT with principled uncertainty quantification. Through recursive training and inference, DT utilizes simulated current state samples, e.g., CO2 saturation, paired with corresponding geophysical field observations to train its neural networks and enable posterior sampling upon receiving new field data. However, it lacks decision-making and control capabilities, which is necessary for full DT functionality. This study aims to demonstrate how DT can inform decision-making processes to prevent risks such as cap rock fracturing during CO2 storage operations.},
	keywords = {Bayesian inference, conditional normalizing flows, control, deep learning, digital twin, GCS, IMAGE, SEG, sequential Bayes, Uncertainty quantification},
	doi = {10.48550/arXiv.2403.19819},
	url = {https://slimgroup.github.io/IMAGE2024/GahlotLi2024SEG/paper.html},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Haoyun Li and Ziyi Yin and Rafael Orozco and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@presentation {herrmann2024ML4SEISMICdtg,
	title = {A Digital Twin for Geological Carbon Storage with Controlled Injectivity},
	year = {2024},
	month = {11},
	abstract = {We present an uncertainty-aware Digital Twin (DT) for geologic carbon storage (GCS), capable of handling multimodal time-lapse data and controlling CO 2  injectivity to mitigate reservoir fracturing risks. In GCS, DT represents virtual replicas of subsurface systems that incorporate real-time data and advanced generative Artificial Intelligence (genAI) techniques, including neural posterior density estimation via simulation-based inference and sequential Bayesian inference. These methods enable the effective monitoring and control of CO 2  storage projects, addressing challenges such as subsurface complexity, operational optimization, and risk mitigation. By integrating diverse monitoring data, e.g., geophysical well observations and imaged seismic, DT can bridge the gaps between seemingly distinct fields like geophysics and reservoir engineering. In addition, the recent advancements in genAI also facilitate DT with principled uncertainty quantification. Through recursive training and inference, DT utilizes simulated current state samples, e.g., CO 2  saturation, paired with corresponding geophysical field observations to train its neural networks and enable posterior sampling upon receiving new field data. However, it lacks decision-making and control capabilities, which is necessary for full DT functionality. This study aims to demonstrate how DT can inform decision-making processes to prevent risks such as cap rock fracturing during CO 2  storage operations.},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, augmentation, Bayesian inference, conditional normalizing flows, data assimilation, deep learning, FWI, Imaging, Inverse problems, ML4SEISMIC, rock physics, RTM, SLIM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/ML4SEISMIC/2024/herrmann2024ML4SEISMICdtg},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Haoyun Li and Ziyi Yin and Rafael Orozco and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@presentation {gahlot2024ICLdtg,
	title = {Digital Twins in the era of generative AI - Application to Geological CO2 Storage},
	year = {2024},
	month = {6},
	abstract = {Our industry is experiencing significant changes due to AI and the challenges of the energy transition. While some view these changes as threats, recent advances in AI offer unique opportunities, especially in the context of Digital Twins for subsurface monitoring and control. IBM defines "A digital twin is a virtual representation of an object or system that spans its lifecycle, is updated from real-time data, and uses simulation, machine learning and reasoning to help decision-making." During this talk, I will explore these concepts and their significance in addressing the challenges of monitoring \& control of geological CO2 storage projects. This talk also aims to illustrate how Digital Twins can serve as a platform to integrate the seemingly disparate and siloed fields of geophysics and reservoir engineering.},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, CIG, conditional normalizing flows, control, data assimilation, deep learning, digital twin, FWI, GCS, Imaging, Inverse problems, MVA, RTM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification, WISE},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/ICL/2024/gahlot2024ICLdtg},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Rafael Orozco and Haoyun Li and Huseyin Tuna Erdinc and Ziyi Yin and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@presentation {herrmann2024dt4gcs,
	title = {Digital Twins in the Era of Generative AI: Application to Geological CO2 Storage},
	year = {2024},
	month = {2},
	abstract = {Our industry is experiencing significant changes due to AI and the challenges of the energy transition. While some view these changes as threats, recent advances in AI offer unique opportunities, especially in the context of Digital Twins for subsurface monitoring and control. IBM defines "A digital twin is a virtual representation of an object or system that spans its lifecycle, is updated from real-time data, and uses simulation, machine learning and reasoning to help decision-making." During this talk, I will explore these concepts and their significance in addressing the challenges of monitoring \& control of geological CO 2  storage projects. This talk also aims to illustrate how Digital Twins can serve as a platform to integrate the seemingly disparate and siloed fields of geophysics and reservoir engineering.},
	keywords = {Bayesian inference, CCS, deep learning, digital twin, Imaging, monitoring, SLIM, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/Halliburton/2024/herrmann2024dt4gcs},
	presentation = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/Halliburton/2024/herrmann2024dt4gcs.pdf},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Rafael Orozco and Haoyun Li and Huseyin Tuna Erdinc and Ziyi Yin and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@conference {gahlot2024MINESGIGACO2dtg,
	title = {DT4GCS {\textemdash} Digital Twin for Geological CO2 Storage and Control},
	booktitle = {Geophysical Research for Gigatonnes CO2 Storage, Colorado School of Mines},
	year = {2024},
	month = {7},
	keywords = {Bayesian inference, conditional normalizing flows, control, deep learning, digital twin, GCS, sequential Bayes, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/MINESGIGACO2/2024/gahlot2024MINESGIGACO2dtg},
	url2 = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/MINESGIGACO2/2024/gahlot2024MINESGIGACO2dtg/DTCCUS24.docx},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Rafael Orozco and Haoyun Li and Huseyin Tuna Erdinc and Ziyi Yin and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@conference {herrmann2024CSMdt,
	title = {DT4GCS {\textendash}- Digital Twin for Geological CO2 Storage and Control},
	booktitle = {Gigatonnes CO2 Storage Workshop},
	year = {2024},
	note = {(Geophysical Research for Gigatonnes CO2 Storage Workshop, Golden)},
	month = {7},
	abstract = {Our industry is experiencing significant changes due to AI and the challenges of the energy transition. While some view these changes as threats, recent advances in AI offer unique opportunities, especially in the context of Digital Twins for subsurface monitoring and control. IBM defines {\textquotedblleft}A digital twin is a virtual representation of an object or system that spans its lifecycle, is updated from real-time data, and uses simulation, machine learning and reasoning to help decision-making.{\textquotedblright} During this talk, we will explore these concepts and their significance in addressing the challenges of monitoring and control of geological CO2 storage projects. This talk also aims to illustrate how Digital Twins can serve as a platform to integrate the seemingly disparate and siloed fields of geophysics and reservoir engineering.},
	keywords = {Bayesian inference, CCS, deep learning, digital twin, Imaging, monitoring, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/CO2STORAGE/2024/herrmann2024CSMdt/herrmann2024CSMdt.pdf},
	author = {Felix J. Herrmann and Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Rafael Orozco and Ziyi Yin and Haoyun Li}
}
@conference {orozco2024EAGEnfb,
	title = {Normalizing Flows for Bayesian Experimental Design in Imaging Applications},
	booktitle = {EAGE Annual Conference Proceedings},
	year = {2024},
	month = {6},
	abstract = {Neural density estimators, such as invertible normalizing flows, are capable of estimating the Bayesian posterior distribution in a variety of imaging problems, including medical MRI and seismic imaging/monitoring. So far, few works explore the possibility to make explicit use of probabilistic information contained within the full Bayesian solution of these inverse problems. During our talk, we investigate how a simple modification to the training objective of conditional normalizing flows allows for Bayesian experimental design without modifying the normalizing flow{\textquoteright}s neural architecture itself. By establishing a key relationship between the expected information gain (EIG) and the maximum-likelihood, attained during the training of normalizing flows, we show that optimal experimental design can be achieved. During our talk, we first verify, on a stylized problem, that our method indeed maximizes the expected information gain, followed by demonstrating the advocacy of our methodology on large-scale medical and seismic problems.},
	keywords = {Bayesian inference, deep learning, expected information gain, Normalizing flows, optimal experimental design, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/EAGE/2024/orozco2024EAGEnfb},
	author = {Rafael Orozco and Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Peng Chen and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@presentation {gahlot2024ML4SEISMICosm,
	title = {Optimizing CO2 Storage Monitoring with Enhanced Rock Physics Modeling},
	year = {2024},
	month = {11},
	abstract = {Based on the latest data-assimilation and machine-learning techniques, Digital Twins (DTs) have shown promise for high-fidelity monitoring and control of underground CO2​ storage. While the use of these techniques have important advantages, they do rely on certain assumptions. If these assumptions are not met, the DT{\textquoteright}s neural networks may no longer infer the state of the CO2 plume (pressure/saturation) accurately. By augmenting the forecast ensemble, we address this issue.},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, augmentation, Bayesian inference, conditional normalizing flows, data assimilation, deep learning, FWI, Imaging, Inverse problems, ML4SEISMIC, rock physics, RTM, SLIM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/ML4SEISMIC/2024/gahlot2024ML4SEISMICosm},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@presentation {deng2024ML4SEISMICpjr,
	title = {Probabilistic Joint Recovery Method for CO2 plume monitoring},
	year = {2024},
	month = {11},
	abstract = {Accurately predicting fluid flow patterns in Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) is a challenging task, particularly due to uncertainties in CO 2  plume dynamics and reservoir properties. While previous deterministic methods such as the Joint Recovery Method (JRM) have provided valuable insights, their effectiveness is limited as tools for decision-making since they do not communicate uncertainty. To address this, we propose a Probabilistic Joint Recovery Method (PJRM) that computes the posterior distribution at each monitoring survey while leveraging the shared structure among surveys through a common generative model. By efficiently computing posterior distributions for each monitoring survey, this method aims to provide valuable uncertainty information to decision-makers in CCS projects, augmenting their workflow with principled risk minimization.},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, deep learning, FWI, igm, image generative model, Imaging, Inverse problems, JRM, ML4SEISMIC, SLIM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/ML4SEISMIC/2024/deng2024ML4SEISMICpjr},
	author = {Zijun Deng and Rafael Orozco and Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@presentation {li2024ML4SEISMICrps,
	title = {Reconstructing Permeability and Saturation in Reservoir Simulation Using Diffusion PDE Models},
	year = {2024},
	month = {11},
	abstract = {This study explores the application of a diffusion partial differential equation (PDE) model for reservoir simulation, particularly aimed at reconstructing permeability and saturation fields within a saline aquifer. Focusing on pairs of input permeability and output saturation, the model is trained to capture the underlying dynamics governing fluid flow in porous media. Post-training, the model is capable of inferring or recovering the complete permeability and saturation distributions when provided with limited vertical pixel data of permeability and saturation. This approach offers a novel pathway for enhancing the resolution of subsurface characteristics, contributing to more accurate predictions in reservoir engineering and carbon storage simulations.},
	keywords = {augmentation, Bayesian inference, deep learning, diffusion models, Inverse problems, ML4SEISMIC, SLIM, Summary Statistics, two-phase flow, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/ML4SEISMIC/2024/li2024ML4SEISMICrps},
	author = {Haoyun Li and Shiqin Zeng and Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@unpublished {gahlot2024uads,
	title = {An uncertainty-aware Digital Shadow for underground multimodal CO2 storage monitoring},
	year = {2024},
	month = {10},
	abstract = {As a society, we are faced with important challenges to combat climate change. Geological Carbon Storage (GCS), during which gigatonnes of super-critical CO2 are stored underground, is arguably the only scalable net-negative CO2-emission technology that is available. While promising, subsurface complexities and heterogeneity of reservoir properties demand a systematic approach to quantify uncertainty when optimizing production and mitigating storage risks, which include assurances of Containment and Conformance of injected supercritical CO2. As a first step towards the design and implementation of a Digital Twin for monitoring and control of underground storage operations, a machine-learning-based data-assimilation framework is introduced and validated on carefully designed realistic numerical simulations. Because our implementation is based on Bayesian inference, but does not yet support control and decision-making, we coin our approach an uncertainty-aware Digital Shadow. To characterize the posterior distribution for the state of CO2 plumes (its CO2 concentration and pressure), conditioned on multi-modal time-lapse data, the envisioned Shadow combines techniques from Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) and Ensemble Bayesian Filtering to establish probabilistic baselines and assimilate multi-modal data for GCS problems that are challenged by large degrees of freedom, nonlinear multiphysics, non-Gaussianity, and computationally expensive to evaluate fluid-flow and seismic simulations. To enable SBI for dynamic systems, a recursive scheme is proposed where the Digital Shadow{\textquoteright}s neural networks are trained on simulated ensembles for their state and observed data (well and/or seismic). Once training is completed, the system{\textquoteright}s state is inferred when time-lapse field data becomes available. Contrary to ensemble Kalman filtering, corrections to the predicted simulated states are not based on linear updates, but instead follow during the Analysis step of Bayesian filtering from a prior-to-posterior mapping through the latent space of a nonlinear transform. Starting from a probabilistic model for the permeability field, derived from a baseline surface-seismic survey, the proposed Digital Shadow is validated on unseen simulated ground-truth time-lapse data. In this computational study, we observe that a lack of knowledge on the permeability field can be factored into the Digital Shadow{\textquoteright}s uncertainty quantification. Our results also indicate that the highest reconstruction quality is achieved when the state of the CO2 plume is conditioned on both time-lapse seismic data and wellbore measurements. Despite the incomplete knowledge of the permeability field, the proposed Digital Shadow was able to accurately track the unseen physical state of the subsurface throughout the duration of a realistic CO2 injection project. To the best of our knowledge, this work represents the first proof-of-concept of an uncertainty-aware, in-principle scalable, Digital Shadow that captures the uncertainty arising from unknown reservoir properties and noisy observations. This framework provides a foundation for the development of a Digital Twin aimed at mitigating risks and optimizing the management of underground storage projects.},
	keywords = {Bayesian inference, conditional normalizing flows, deep learning, digital twin, GCS, Inverse problems, sequential Bayes, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification},
	doi = {10.48550/arXiv.2410.01218},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Submitted/2024/gahlot2024uads/paper.html},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Rafael Orozco and Ziyi Yin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@conference {herrmann2024SIAMUQdt,
	title = {An Uncertainty-Aware Digital Twin for Geological Carbon Storage},
	booktitle = {SIAM Conference on Uncertainty Quantification},
	year = {2024},
	note = {(SIAM UQ, Trieste)},
	month = {03},
	abstract = {Arguably, Geological Carbon Storage constitutes the only truly scalable net-negative carbon emission technology. To mitigate its risks and optimize its operations, an uncertainty-aware Digital Twin is being developed. To leverage existing fluid-flow and seismic simulation and imaging capabilities, the envisioned twin combines techniques from sequential and simulation-based Bayesian inference to train its deep generative neural networks to draw samples from the posterior of the Digital Twin{\textquoteright}s state. Because these samples are conditioned on observed time-lapse field data, these twins are capable of capturing the dynamics of CO2 plumes and their uncertainty.},
	keywords = {Bayesian inference, CCS, deep learning, digital twin, GCS, Imaging, monitoring, SIAM, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/SIAMUQ/2024/digital-twin},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Rafael Orozco and Haoyun Li and Grant Bruer and Ziyi Yin and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@conference {erdinc2023IMAGEecl,
	title = {Enhancing CO2 Leakage Detectability via Dataset Augmentation},
	booktitle = {International Meeting for Applied Geoscience and Energy},
	year = {2023},
	note = {(IMAGE, Houston)},
	month = {08},
	abstract = {Previous work showed that neural classifiers can be trained to detect CO2 leakage from time-lapse seismic images. While this result is crucial to the global deployment of geological carbon storage (GCS), its success depends on relatively dense non-replicated time-lapse data acquisition. In this study, we show that by augmenting the training set with various coarse receiver samplings and corresponding seismic images, we can improve the leakage detection capabilities and accuracy while increasing the robustness with respect to low-cost coarse receiver samplings, e.g. ocean bottom nodes (OBNs).},
	keywords = {CCS, classifier, deep learning, leakage detection, SEG},
	url = {https://slimgroup.github.io/IMAGE2023/DetectabilityWithVision/abstract.html},
	presentation = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/SEG/2023/erdinc2023IMAGEecl},
	author = {Huseyin Tuna Erdinc and Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@presentation {erdinc2023ML4SEISMICias,
	title = {Improved automatic seismic CO2 leakage detection via dataset augmentation},
	year = {2023},
	month = {11},
	abstract = {Previous works showed that neural classifiers can be trained to detect CO2 leakage from time-lapse seismic images. While this result is crucial to the global deployment of geological carbon storage (GCS), its success depends on relatively dense non-replicated time-lapse data acquisition. In this study, we present an approach to enhance the detection accuracy and robustness of CO2 leakage detection by augmenting the training dataset with a variety of coarsely sampled receiver data and their corresponding receiver numbers. This augmentation strategy is particularly beneficial for scenarios where low-cost coarse receiver samplings, such as with ocean bottom nodes (OBNs), are utilized. Furthermore, we explore interpretability of the classifier{\textquoteright}s decisions by generating saliency maps for further analysis.},
	keywords = {CCS, classifier, deep learning, leakage detection, ML4SEISMIC, SLIM},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/ML4SEISMIC/2023/erdinc2023ML4SEISMICias},
	author = {Huseyin Tuna Erdinc and Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@presentation {herrmann2023ML4SEISMICmsc,
	title = {Monitoring subsurface CO2 plumes with learned sequential Bayesian inference},
	year = {2023},
	month = {11},
	abstract = {Reservoir engineers frequently employ two-phase flow simulations and history-matching to oversee and anticipate the behavior of CO2 plumes within geological carbon storage. These simulations, while valuable for gaining insights, face limitations due to several complex factors, such as uncertainties surrounding the plume{\textquoteright}s dynamics. To investigate this phenomenon more comprehensively, we introduce the concept of stochasticity in the dynamics, accounting for uncertainties in the underlying permeability of the reservoir. To enhance the accuracy of CO2 plume predictions and quantify the uncertainties involved, we utilize machine learning techniques to condition these predictions on time-lapse seismic and well observations. This framework works on the principle of sequential Bayesian inference that continuously assimilates information from time-lapse observations, updates the CO2 plume predictions, and characterizes uncertainties about the plumes.},
	keywords = {Bayesian inference, CCS, deep learning, Imaging, ML4SEISMIC, monitoring, SLIM, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/ML4SEISMIC/2023/herrmann2023ML4SEISMICmsc},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Ting-ying Yu and Rafael Orozco and Ziyi Yin and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@conference {yu2023IMAGEmsc,
	title = {Monitoring Subsurface CO2 Plumes with Sequential Bayesian Inference},
	booktitle = {International Meeting for Applied Geoscience and Energy},
	year = {2023},
	note = {(IMAGE, Houston)},
	month = {08},
	abstract = {To monitor and predict CO2 plume dynamics during geological carbon storage, reservoir engineers usually perform two-phase flow simulations. While these simulations may provide useful insights, their usefulness is limited due to numerous complicating factors including uncertainty in the dynamics of the plume itself. To study this phenomenon, we consider stochasticity in the dynamic caused by unknown random changes in the injection rate. By conditioning the CO2 plume predictions on seismic observations, we correct the CO2 plume predictions and quantify uncertainty with machine learning.},
	keywords = {Bayesian inference, CCS, deep learning, Imaging, monitoring, SEG, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slimgroup.github.io/IMAGE2023/SequentialBayes/abstract.html},
	presentation = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/SEG/2023/yu2023IMAGEmsc},
	author = {Ting-ying Yu and Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Rafael Orozco and Ziyi Yin and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@presentation {yin2022ML4SEISMICsfg,
	title = {Simulation-based framework for geological carbon storage monitoring},
	year = {2022},
	month = {11},
	abstract = {While various monitoring modalities exist to track the behavior of CO2 plumes to ensure safe operations and compliance with regulatory requirements, active 3D time-lapse seismic monitoring has proven superior but costly. At SLIM, we aim to reduce the operating costs by optimizing acquisition design, to help drive innovations in seismic monitoring acquisition design and imaging, and to test novel time-lapse acquisition and imaging technologies in silico at scale. In this talk, we will introduce our open-source software platform simulation-based monitoring design framework. We demonstrate how to make use of proxy models for seismic properties derived from real 3D imaged seismic and well data to conduct realistic synthetic geological carbon storage projects. Furthermore, we discuss our proposed sparse non-replicated seismic acquisition and cutting-edge methodology to recover the dense data or to directly image the sparse non-replicated via joint recovery model. This automatic workflow ends with deep neural classifiers to detect potential CO2 leakage over seal through pressure-induced fault openings. We envisage the development of an automatic workflow to handle the large number of continuously monitored CO2 injection sites needed to help combat climate change.},
	keywords = {CAM, CCS, classification, deep learning, explainability, GCS, Imaging, JRM, machine learning, ML4SEISMIC, SLIM, time-lapse},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/ML4SEISMIC/2022/yin2022ML4SEISMICsfg/index.html},
	author = {Ziyi Yin and Huseyin Tuna Erdinc and Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
