@conference {herrmann2025SIAMrdt,
	title = {Robust Digital Twin for Geological Carbon Storage},
	booktitle = {SIAM Conference on Computational Science and Engineering (CSE25)},
	year = {2025},
	note = {(SIAM CSE25, Dallas)},
	month = {03},
	abstract = {While recent work has shown that conditional neural networks can be used to effectuate prior-to-posterior mappings during ensemble Kalman filtering, their accuracy relies on the quality of the training ensemble, consisting of the simulated time-advanced nonlinear state and possibly nonlinear observations. Its precision also depends on the generative neural networks{\textquoteright} ability to generalize. In this work, we will report progress on how to make our Digital Twin more robust with respect to distribution shifts and modeling errors, e.g. due to erroneous choices for the physics within the Forecast Step. To this end, we will follow a two-pronged approach consisting of augmenting the Forecast step, e.g. by including different models for the rock physics that map the Digital Twin{\textquoteright}s state to seismic properties, and by adding more physics during the prior-to-posterior mapping. In its current implementation, training of our Digital Twin{\textquoteright}s neural networks relies on relative low-fidelity amortization of the Forecast Ensemble, which is susceptible to distribution shifts. By conducting non-amortized inference informed by the physics and low-fidelity prior-to-posterior mapping, we propose an approach that is more robust than the current implementation of the Digital Twin.},
	keywords = {Bayesian inference, conditional normalizing flows, CSE25, digital twin, rock physics, sequential Bayes, SIAM, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/SIAMCSE/2025/herrmann2025SIAMrdt},
	author = {Felix J. Herrmann and Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Rafael Orozco and Ziyi Yin and Grant Bruer}
}
@conference {orozco2024SIAMboed,
	title = {Normalizing Flows for Bayesian Experimental Design in Imaging Applications},
	booktitle = {SIAM Conference on Uncertainty Quantification},
	year = {2024},
	note = {(SIAM UQ, Trieste)},
	month = {03},
	abstract = {Neural density estimators such as normalizing flows have shown promise for estimation of the Bayesian posterior in a variety of imaging problems. Few works have explored how to practically exploit the probabilistic information contained in the full Bayesian solution of the inverse problem. Here we explore a simple modification to conditional normalizing flow training that enables Bayesian experimental design without modifying existing architectures. Based on a relationship between the expected information gain and maximum-likelihood training of normalizing flows, we show that experimental design can be achieved with the same training objective. We first verify that our method maximizes the expected information gain using a stylized problem. Then, we demonstrate our method can solve imaging problems in large scale medical and seismic applications.},
	keywords = {expected information gain, Normalizing flows, optimal experimental design, SIAM},
	doi = {10.48550/arXiv.2402.18337},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/SIAMUQ/2024/orozco2024SIAMUQboed},
	url2 = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/SIAMUQ/2024/orozco2024SIAMUQboed/orozco2024SIAMUQboed.pdf},
	author = {Rafael Orozco and Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Peng Chen and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@conference {herrmann2024SIAMUQdt,
	title = {An Uncertainty-Aware Digital Twin for Geological Carbon Storage},
	booktitle = {SIAM Conference on Uncertainty Quantification},
	year = {2024},
	note = {(SIAM UQ, Trieste)},
	month = {03},
	abstract = {Arguably, Geological Carbon Storage constitutes the only truly scalable net-negative carbon emission technology. To mitigate its risks and optimize its operations, an uncertainty-aware Digital Twin is being developed. To leverage existing fluid-flow and seismic simulation and imaging capabilities, the envisioned twin combines techniques from sequential and simulation-based Bayesian inference to train its deep generative neural networks to draw samples from the posterior of the Digital Twin{\textquoteright}s state. Because these samples are conditioned on observed time-lapse field data, these twins are capable of capturing the dynamics of CO2 plumes and their uncertainty.},
	keywords = {Bayesian inference, CCS, deep learning, digital twin, GCS, Imaging, monitoring, SIAM, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/SIAMUQ/2024/digital-twin},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Rafael Orozco and Haoyun Li and Grant Bruer and Ziyi Yin and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
