@conference {herrmann2026SIAMGScud,
	title = {Context- and uncertainty-aware Digital Twin for the Optimization of Underground Storage Operations},
	booktitle = {SIAM Geosciences Webinar Series},
	year = {2026},
	month = {5},
	abstract = {Geological Carbon Storage (GCS) is the only truly scalable pathway to net-negative emissions on the path to net-zero, yet ensuring safe, cost-efficient, and verifiable GCS demands far more than static reservoir models. We introduce an uncertainty-aware Digital Twin framework that delivers continuous, probabilistic monitoring of subsurface CO$_{2}$ plume dynamics and enables risk-informed operational decisions in real time. At the core of our approach is a machine-learning-enabled data assimilation framework where Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) replaces linear ensemble Kalman filtering, enabling the framework to handle highly nonlinear CO$_{2}$ dynamics and time-lapse seismic and well-bore observations. This allows the Digital Twin to characterize the full posterior distribution of reservoir states{\textemdash}fluid saturations and pressures{\textemdash}conditioned on multimodal time-lapse observations from imaged surface seismic data and well measurements. The framework operates recursively: neural networks are trained offline on ensembles of simulated reservoir states and simulated observations, capturing complex nonlinear subsurface dynamics and observations. Once trained, the Digital Twin assimilates incoming field data in near real-time, continuously updating the probabilistic reservoir model as new measurements arrive. By maintaining a probabilistic rather than deterministic view of reservoir state, our Digital Twin enables decision-making under uncertainty{\textemdash}optimizing CO$_{2}$ injection schedules while managing the risk of exceeding critical fracture pressures, and identifying monitoring strategies that maximally reduce uncertainty. Validated on realistic numerical simulations of GCS scenarios, this framework offers a concrete path toward safer, more transparent, and verifiable Geological Carbon Storage operations.},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, CIG, conditional normalizing flows, data assimilation, deep learning, digital twin, experimental design, GCS, Imaging, Inverse problems, permeability, reservoir simulation, rock physics, RTM, SIAMGS, SLIM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/SIAMGS/2026/herrmann2026SIAMGScud},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Haoyun Li and Rafael Orozco and Ziyi Yin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@conference {herrmann2025AIDT4EScad,
	title = {Context-aware Digital Twin for Underground Storage},
	booktitle = {Artificial Intelligence and Digital Twins for Earth Systems 2025, Austin, TX},
	year = {2025},
	month = {9},
	keywords = {AIDT4ES, Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, conditional normalizing flows, data assimilation, deep learning, digital twin, experimental design, GCS, Imaging, Inverse problems, permeability, reservoir simulation, rock physics, RTM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/AIDT4ES/2025/herrmann2025AIDT4EScad},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Haoyun Li and Ipsita Bhar and Huseyin Tuna Erdinc and Rafael Orozco and Ziyi Yin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@conference {herrmann2025IMSIcad,
	title = {Context-Aware Digital Twin for Underground Storage Operations and Decision Making},
	booktitle = {Data Assimilation and Inverse Problems for Digital Twins Workshop 205, IMSI, Chicago},
	year = {2025},
	month = {10},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, conditional normalizing flows, data assimilation, decision making, digital twin, experimental design, GCS, Imaging, Inverse problems, permeability, reservoir simulation, rock physics, RTM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/IMSI/2025/herrmann2025IMSIcad},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Haoyun Li and Ipsita Bhar and Huseyin Tuna Erdinc and Rafael Orozco and Ziyi Yin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@article {yin2024wiser,
	title = {WISER: multimodal variational inference for full-waveform inversion without dimensionality reduction},
	journal = {Geophysics},
	volume = {90},
	year = {2025},
	note = {(GEOPHYSICS)},
	month = {03},
	abstract = {We present a semi-amortized variational inference framework designed for computationally feasible uncertainty quantification in 2D full-waveform inversion to explore the multimodal posterior distribution without dimensionality reduction. The framework is called WISER, short for full-Waveform variational Inference via Subsurface Extensions with Refinements. WISER leverages the power of generative artificial intelligence to perform approximate amortized inference that is low-cost albeit showing an amortization gap. This gap is closed through non-amortized refinements that make frugal use of acoustic wave physics. Case studies illustrate that WISER is capable of full-resolution, computationally feasible, and reliable uncertainty estimates of velocity models and imaged reflectivities.},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, CIG, conditional normalizing flows, deep learning, FWI, Imaging, Inverse problems, MVA, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification, WISE, WISER},
	doi = {10.1190/geo2024-0483.1},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Journals/Geophysics/2024/yin2024wiser/WISER.html},
	author = {Ziyi Yin and Rafael Orozco and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@presentation {herrmann2024ML4SEISMICdtg,
	title = {A Digital Twin for Geological Carbon Storage with Controlled Injectivity},
	year = {2024},
	month = {11},
	abstract = {We present an uncertainty-aware Digital Twin (DT) for geologic carbon storage (GCS), capable of handling multimodal time-lapse data and controlling CO 2  injectivity to mitigate reservoir fracturing risks. In GCS, DT represents virtual replicas of subsurface systems that incorporate real-time data and advanced generative Artificial Intelligence (genAI) techniques, including neural posterior density estimation via simulation-based inference and sequential Bayesian inference. These methods enable the effective monitoring and control of CO 2  storage projects, addressing challenges such as subsurface complexity, operational optimization, and risk mitigation. By integrating diverse monitoring data, e.g., geophysical well observations and imaged seismic, DT can bridge the gaps between seemingly distinct fields like geophysics and reservoir engineering. In addition, the recent advancements in genAI also facilitate DT with principled uncertainty quantification. Through recursive training and inference, DT utilizes simulated current state samples, e.g., CO 2  saturation, paired with corresponding geophysical field observations to train its neural networks and enable posterior sampling upon receiving new field data. However, it lacks decision-making and control capabilities, which is necessary for full DT functionality. This study aims to demonstrate how DT can inform decision-making processes to prevent risks such as cap rock fracturing during CO 2  storage operations.},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, augmentation, Bayesian inference, conditional normalizing flows, data assimilation, deep learning, FWI, Imaging, Inverse problems, ML4SEISMIC, rock physics, RTM, SLIM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/ML4SEISMIC/2024/herrmann2024ML4SEISMICdtg},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Haoyun Li and Ziyi Yin and Rafael Orozco and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@presentation {gahlot2024ICLdtg,
	title = {Digital Twins in the era of generative AI - Application to Geological CO2 Storage},
	year = {2024},
	month = {6},
	abstract = {Our industry is experiencing significant changes due to AI and the challenges of the energy transition. While some view these changes as threats, recent advances in AI offer unique opportunities, especially in the context of Digital Twins for subsurface monitoring and control. IBM defines "A digital twin is a virtual representation of an object or system that spans its lifecycle, is updated from real-time data, and uses simulation, machine learning and reasoning to help decision-making." During this talk, I will explore these concepts and their significance in addressing the challenges of monitoring \& control of geological CO2 storage projects. This talk also aims to illustrate how Digital Twins can serve as a platform to integrate the seemingly disparate and siloed fields of geophysics and reservoir engineering.},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, CIG, conditional normalizing flows, control, data assimilation, deep learning, digital twin, FWI, GCS, Imaging, Inverse problems, MVA, RTM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification, WISE},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/ICL/2024/gahlot2024ICLdtg},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Rafael Orozco and Haoyun Li and Huseyin Tuna Erdinc and Ziyi Yin and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@conference {zeng2024IMAGEefw,
	title = {Enhancing Full-Waveform Variational Inference through Stochastic Resampling and Data Augmentation},
	booktitle = {International Meeting for Applied Geoscience and Energy},
	year = {2024},
	month = {8},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, CIG, conditional normalizing flows, deep learning, FWI, IMAGE, Imaging, Inverse problems, MVA, RTM, SEG, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification, WISE},
	url = {https://slimgroup.github.io/IMAGE2024/Yunlin_Zeng2024SEG/paper.html},
	author = {Yunlin Zeng and Rafael Orozco and Ziyi Yin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@presentation {zeng2024ML4SEISMICefv,
	title = {Enhancing Full-Waveform Variational Inference through Stochastic Resampling},
	year = {2024},
	month = {11},
	abstract = {Recent developments in simulation-based inference, like the full-waveform variational inference via subsurface extensions (WISE), enable rapid online estimation of subsurface velocities by leveraging pre-trained models. To achieve this, WISE employs subsurface-offset common image gathers to convert shot data into physics-informed summary statistics. While common image gathers effectively retain critical information even when initial velocity estimates are inaccurate, WISE{\textquoteright}s performance still depends on the assumption that the initial migration-velocity model is a single 1D velocity model. In this work, we present experiments using both 1D and 2D velocity models and develop a stochastic resampling method to generate variations of initial migration-velocity models. This technique allows us to systematically infer alternative velocity models that are consistent with the observed data, while enhancing the posterior sample quality and reducing dependency on the initial velocity model compared to the standard WISE approach.},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, CIG, conditional normalizing flows, deep learning, FWI, Imaging, Inverse problems, MVA, RTM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification, WISE},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/ML4SEISMIC/2024/zeng2024ML4SEISMICefv},
	author = {Yunlin Zeng and Ziyi Yin and Rafael Orozco and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@presentation {orozco2024ML4SEISMICmev,
	title = {Machine-learning enabled velocity-model building with uncertainty quantification},
	year = {2024},
	month = {11},
	abstract = {Accurately characterizing subsurface properties is crucial for a wide range of geophysical applications, from hydrocarbon exploration to monitoring of CO2 sequestration projects. Traditional characterization methods such as Full-Waveform Inversion (FWI) represent powerful tools but often struggle with the inherent complexities of the inverse problem, including noise, limited bandwidth and aperture of data, limited azimuth and computational constraints. To address these challenges, we propose a scalable methodology that integrates generative modeling with physics-informed summary statistics, making it suitable for complicated imaging problems potentially including field datasets. Our approach leverages the power of conditional diffusion networks, and methodologically incorporates physics in the form of summary statistics, allowing for the computationally efficient generation of Bayesian posterior samples that offer an useful assessment of uncertainty of the inferred migration-velocity models. To validate our approach, we introduce a battery of tests that measure the quality of the image estimates as well as the quality of the inferred uncertainties. With modern synthetic datasets, we maximally leverage the advantages of using subsurface-offset Common Image Gathers (CIGs) as the conditioning observable. Next, we tackle the challenging SEAM salt model that requires incorporating salt flooding into our approach based on the iterative refinements of ASPIRE {\textemdash} Amortized posteriors with Summaries that are Physics-based and Iteratively REfined.},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, deep learning, diffusion models, FWI, Imaging, Inverse problems, ML4SEISMIC, RTM, SLIM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification, WISE},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/ML4SEISMIC/2024/orozco2024ML4SEISMICmev},
	author = {Rafael Orozco and Huseyin Tuna Erdinc and Thales Souza and Yunlin Zeng and Ziyi Yin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@conference {orozco2024IPMSnwi,
	title = {Neural wave-based imaging with amortized uncertainty quantification},
	booktitle = {Inverse Problems: Modelling and Simulation},
	year = {2024},
	month = {5},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, CIG, conditional normalizing flows, deep learning, FWI, Imaging, Inverse problems, IPMS, MVA, RTM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification, WISE},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/IPMS/2024/orozco2024IPMSnwi},
	url2 = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/IPMS/2024/orozco2024IPMSnwi/herrmann2024.pdf},
	author = {Rafael Orozco and Ziyi Yin and Ali Siahkoohi and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@presentation {orozco2024ICLnwi,
	title = {Neural wave-based imaging with amortized uncertainty quantification},
	year = {2024},
	month = {6},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, CIG, conditional normalizing flows, deep learning, FWI, Imaging, Inverse problems, MVA, RTM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification, WISE},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/ICL/2024/orozco2024ICLnwi},
	author = {Rafael Orozco and Ziyi Yin and Ali Siahkoohi and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@article {yin2023wise,
	title = {WISE: full-Waveform variational Inference via Subsurface Extensions},
	journal = {Geophysics},
	volume = {89},
	year = {2024},
	note = {(GEOPHYSICS)},
	month = {04},
	abstract = {We introduce a probabilistic technique for full-waveform inversion, employing variational inference and conditional normalizing flows to quantify uncertainty in migration-velocity models and its impact on imaging. Our approach integrates generative artificial intelligence with physics-informed common-image gathers, reducing reliance on accurate initial velocity models. Considered case studies demonstrate its efficacy producing realizations of migration-velocity models conditioned by the data. These models are used to quantify amplitude and positioning effects during subsequent imaging.},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, CIG, conditional normalizing flows, deep learning, FWI, Geophysics, Imaging, Inverse problems, MVA, RTM, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification, WISE},
	doi = {10.1190/geo2023-0744.1},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Journals/Geophysics/2024/yin2023wise/paper.html},
	author = {Ziyi Yin and Rafael Orozco and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@conference {yin2024IMAGEwiser,
	title = {WISER: full-Waveform variational Inference via Subsurface Extensions with Refinements},
	booktitle = {International Meeting for Applied Geoscience and Energy},
	year = {2024},
	month = {8},
	abstract = {We introduce a cost-effective Bayesian inference method for full-waveform inversion (FWI) to quantify uncertainty in migration-velocity models and its impact on imaging. Our method targets inverse uncertainty due to null-space of the wave modeling operators and observational noise, and forward uncertainty where the uncertainty in velocity models is propagated to uncertainty in amplitude and positioning of imaged reflectivities. This is achieved by integrating generative artificial intelligence (genAI) with physics-informed common-image gathers (CIGs), which greatly reduces reliance on accurate initial FWI-velocity models. In addition, we illustrate the capability of fine-tuning the generative AI networks with frugal physics-based refinements to improve the inference accuracy.},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, CIG, conditional normalizing flows, deep learning, FWI, IMAGE, Imaging, Inverse problems, MVA, RTM, SEG, Summary Statistics, Uncertainty quantification, WISE, WISER},
	url = {https://slimgroup.github.io/IMAGE2024/yin2024SEG/paper.html},
	author = {Ziyi Yin and Rafael Orozco and Mathias Louboutin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
@conference {gahlot2023NIPSWSifp,
	title = {Inference of CO2 flow patterns {\textendash} a feasibility study},
	booktitle = {Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)},
	year = {2023},
	note = {(NeurIPS 2023 Workshop - Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning (Spotlight))},
	month = {10},
	abstract = {As the global deployment of carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) technology intensifies in the fight against climate change, it becomes increasingly imperative to establish robust monitoring and detection mechanisms for potential underground CO$_2$ leakage, particularly through pre-existing or induced faults in the storage reservoir{\textquoteright}s seals. While techniques such as history matching and time-lapse seismic monitoring of CO$_2$ storage have been used successfully in tracking the evolution of CO$_2$ plumes in the subsurface, these methods lack principled approaches to characterize uncertainties related to the CO$_2$ plumes{\textquoteright} behavior. Inclusion of systematic assessment of uncertainties is essential for risk mitigation for the following reasons: (i) CO$_2$ plume-induced changes are small and seismic data is noisy; (ii) changes between regular and irregular (e.g., caused by leakage) flow patterns are small; and (iii) the reservoir properties that control the flow are strongly heterogeneous and typically only available as distributions. To arrive at a formulation capable of inferring flow patterns for regular and irregular flow from well and seismic data, the performance of conditional normalizing flow will be analyzed on a series of carefully designed numerical experiments. While the inferences presented are preliminary in the context of an early CO$_2$ leakage detection system, the results do indicate that inferences with conditional normalizing flows can produce high-fidelity estimates for CO$_2$ plumes with or without leakage. We are also confident that the inferred uncertainty is reasonable because it correlates well with the observed errors. This uncertainty stems from noise in the seismic data and from the lack of precise knowledge of the reservoir{\textquoteright}s fluid flow properties.},
	keywords = {Amortized Variational Inference, Bayesian inference, CCS, conditional normalizing flows, geological carbon storage, monitoring, NIPS, Summary Statistics},
	doi = {10.48550/arXiv.2311.00290},
	url = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/NIPS/2023/gahlot2023NIPSWSifp/paper.pdf},
	presentation = {https://slim.gatech.edu/Publications/Public/Conferences/NIPS/2023/gahlot2023NIPSWSifp/poster.pdf},
	author = {Abhinav Prakash Gahlot and Huseyin Tuna Erdinc and Rafael Orozco and Ziyi Yin and Felix J. Herrmann}
}
